Climate and Operational Risk, Mapped to Every Facility in your network.

Most risk frameworks tell you a facility is exposed.

RISK-ACES tells you why, how severe the impact could be, and where to act first, across climate, cost, and operational dimensions - for every site across your value chain.

RISK-ACES organizes facility-level risk across four dimensions — giving every site in your network a risk fingerprint that's comparable, explainable, and actionable.

A
Availability
C
Cost
E
Environment
S
Sensitivity
A
Availability
Can this facility continue to operate and deliver?

A site can look stable on paper and still be one weather event, one infrastructure failure, or one logistics breakdown away from halting production. Availability captures the physical and operational risks that reduce a facility's ability to produce, move, or deliver — risks that often emerge suddenly and cascade fast.

Risk layers include
Infrastructure instability and outages
Extreme weather and localised disruption events
Logistics constraints and transport reliability
Operational volatility and site-specific hazards
A single facility outage can ripple through downstream production, customer commitments, and service levels in hours. As extreme weather events intensify, availability risk is increasingly a climate risk. ACES makes it visible at the facility level — before continuity is compromised.
C
Cost
How exposed is this location to cost volatility?

A facility can stay operational and still become a liability. Cost risk captures how regional dynamics — trade exposure, geopolitical pressure, labour volatility — can quietly erode the economics of operating at a specific site, often before leadership has visibility to act.

Risk layers include
Production price pressure and volatility
International trade exposure and tariff dynamics
Geopolitical instability and regional uncertainty
Labour and operating cost variability
Facilities don't have to go offline to damage margins. For investors and operations leaders alike, cost risk is where climate exposure quietly becomes a financial liability. ACES surfaces it early — so teams can rebalance, renegotiate, or redirect before the pressure shows up in the numbers.
E
Environment
How exposed is this facility to climate and regulatory pressure?

Climate risk is no longer a future concern — it is already reshaping operating conditions, capital access, and regulatory requirements at the facility level. Water stress, emissions regulation, and shifting stakeholder expectations accumulate quietly until a site that was viable yesterday faces constraints on its licence to operate, its financing, or its long-term investability.

Risk layers include
Water stress and resource constraints
Regulatory tightening and compliance exposure
Systemic sustainability pressures affecting permits, performance, and investment
RISK-ACES integrates forward-looking climate scenarios through 2050 — enabling planning that goes beyond the next disruption cycle. For sustainability teams, this is the evidence base for climate risk disclosure. For investors, it's the forward visibility needed to protect asset value.
S
Sensitivity
How hard will your company be impacted by issues at a specific facility?

Two facilities can face identical risks and experience completely different outcomes. Sensitivity explains why — by measuring how vulnerable a specific site is given its role in the network, its dependencies, and the availability of alternatives if it goes down.

Sensitivity factors include
Single-source or constrained supplier roles
Substitutability and availability of alternatives
Time to recover or reroute production
Strategic criticality within the value chain
Exposure tells you where risk exists. Sensitivity tells you where it would hurt most. It ensures that when leaders prioritize, they focus first on the sites where disruption carries the greatest operational and financial consequence.

The RISK-ACES Process

  • 01
    Step 01
    Map what matters

    Every network is different. We start by mapping yours — your facilities, suppliers, and co-manufacturers — and aligning on the decisions you need to support. Using the ACES framework, we define what risk means in your context and where visibility matters most.

  • 02
    Step 02
    Make risk explainable

    Black boxes don't build confidence — in the boardroom, with investors, or with regulators. RISK-ACES is built to be transparent — assumptions, risk drivers, and sensitivity factors are visible and shared, so your teams understand why a site is flagged, not just that it is. No generic scoring. No unexplained outputs.

  • 03
    Step 03
    Pressure-test with reality

    Risk models built in labs often fail in the field. We continuously challenge our assumptions through Accelerated Risk Trials — expert-led exercises that stress-test scenarios against real-world disruption pathways. This keeps ACES grounded, current, and defensible as conditions change.

  • 04
    Step 04
    Decide and act

    Insight without direction isn't useful — whether you're managing a supplier network, reporting to a board, or responding to a climate disclosure requirement. RISK-ACES turns understanding into clear priorities: which facilities matter most, where alternatives exist, and what actions reduce exposure now and over time. So your teams always know where to focus and how to move forward with confidence.

Turning ACES Into Actionable Risk Insight

ACES doesn't assess risk drivers in isolation. Every facility is evaluated across Availability, Costs, Environmental pressures, and Sensitivity — producing a risk fingerprint that reveals not just where exposure exists, but how severe its impact could be and which sites matter most to your network's stability.

01

Compare facilities and suppliers side by side — on the same terms

02

Identify where risk is genuinely concentrated, not just theoretically present

03

Understand what is driving exposure and what it means for operations

04

Prioritize mitigation, contingency planning, and climate disclosure where it will have the most impact

The result: risk intelligence that supports both the decisions you need to make today and the resilience you need to build for tomorrow.

A Methodology That Keeps Up With the World


Risk conditions don't stand still — and neither does ACES. Our methodology is continuously refined through Accelerated Risk Trials: structured, expert-led exercises that pressure-test assumptions, challenge scenarios, and validate that action logic holds up when disruption actually unfolds.

The result is a platform that reflects how the real world breaks — not how risk looks in a model.

Built for every time horizon.

Immediate
Now
Medium term
2 – 5 years
Long term
2035 – 2050
01
Immediate
When disruption hits, response time matters

When a disruption hits, response time matters. RISK-ACES connects real-time events directly to your most exposed facilities, with targeted alerts and recommended actions mapped to ACES risk drivers — so your team moves from awareness to response without losing critical time.

02
Medium term
Make hidden risk assumptions visible before commitments lock in

Sourcing strategies, manufacturing footprints, and capital investments all carry hidden risk assumptions. RISK-ACES makes those assumptions visible, enabling better decisions under changing conditions before commitments are locked in.

03
Long term
Plan for where the world is heading, not where it has been

The decisions you make about facilities and supplier networks today will shape your resilience through 2035 and beyond. RISK-ACES integrates forward-looking climate scenarios through 2050 so strategic planning and investments are grounded in where the world is heading, not where it has been.

By incorporating Sensitivity, ACES ensures risk management focuses not just on where disruption is likely — but where it would matter most and how to act to mitigate escalation.

Your Network has Climate and Operational Exposure You Haven’t Mapped Yet.

Tell us about your facilities and the decisions you’re facing. We’ll show you exactly where the risk sits, what’s driving it, and what to do about it.